No.
According to a claim circulating online, there is a CIA document or internal communication from the 1950s asserting that Joseph Stalin was not a dictator. The existence of this document is cited as proof either that Stalin was not a dictator after all, or at least that even the CIA didn’t think he was. However, looking at the document in question, we see it is not a pronouncement of fact by the CIA whatsoever, but an anecdotal information report submitted to CIA information gatherers. As such, the document is a primary source representing the perspective of one anonymous informant, not the opinion of the CIA as a whole. Additionally, the document is contradicted by dozens of more reliable or detailed documents obtained or created by the CIA in the same period, indicating that they did not believe Stalin was non-dictatorial as claimed.
The transcript is in the comments.
Oh cool. Lemme check his channel… oh.

The thumbnail of the first video is just clickbait, with the conclusion at the end of the video being that Trotsky wasn’t right or completely vindicated about everything and that Trotsky and Stalin both used the history of the Soviet Union as a weapon for political and ideological orthodoxy.
Here’s the transcript of that conclusion
Now, am I trying to argue that Trotsky was right about everything after all and is completely politically vindicated? No, not at all. Rather, this is just an illustrative example of how in the 1920s, Soviet history itself was one of the key weapons wielded in the battle for political and ideological orthodoxy. As the ongoing historiography series will illustrate, Stalin cultivated a certain historical narrative that was favorable to himself and his goals. Well, Trotsky did the same. In the former’s case, a considerable industry emerged of party committees, government departments, press outlets, even entertainment. The school of falsification, if you will, which wrote and rewrote the history of the revolution. This school censored or suppressed certain pieces of evidence, canonizing one interpretation to the detriment of others, and in the process worked to cement Stalin’s position as the school’s leading professor.
I just finished the first video and, knowing nothing about any of this, I’d like to be pointed towards the direction of any refutation or criticism of the contents of the video.
I guess I don’t know the first thing about Trotsky.
Most obviously faked document. Lenin went from heavily criticizing Trotsky in a great chunk of his work to saying “akshully, he was awesome and Stalin is an asshole” on his death bed? It doesn’t even pass the sniff test.
Grover Furrk, a Marxist, has a book about called “The Fraud of the “Testament of Lenin””.
Stephen Kotkin, a right-winger, has also talked about it being forged:
Lenin went from heavily criticizing Trotsky in a great chunk of his work to saying “akshully, he was awesome and Stalin is an asshole” on his death bed?
Yeah Lenin totally hated the guy he asked to help him commit assisted suicide. Not like that’s the kind of thing you ask the person you’re closest to when you can’t ask your wife to do it. (Stalin refused btw)
Oh! So this is the famous “testament of Lenin” I’ve heard about. I guess I actually need to read about it.
Oh shit I mixed It up lol. Thought the video was talking about that. My bad on my end since I got clickbaited. Started a struggle session over nothing lol.
Honestly, it doesn’t matter in the grand scheme of things because Lenin wasn’t King of the Bolsheviks. He might have wanted Trotsky, but the Party wanted Stalin. And no single person, even someone as brilliant as Lenin, trumps the will of the Party. This is democratic centralism.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:
Trotsky gets uncritically dogged on more than any other leftist I’ve ever heard of, not that he’s above criticism but it’s just kind of embarrassing how knee jerk most opinions of him/ his politics are
To be fair, from an economic standpoint, Trotsky would have been disastrous for the USSR.
Trotsky thought that FDR’s New Deal would bankrupt America lol. And this is the guy who advocated for a rapid, planned industrialization while criticizing the NEP, but also believe that you cannot run large deficit for rapid expansion of industrial base while maintaining full employment.
Stalin, on the other hand, figured out exactly how to do that without relying on foreign capital or lowering workers wages (as Deng’s reform did) with his Five Year Plans, in a country torn apart by a devastating civil war with much of their wealth already looted.
One could even argue that without Stalin’s timely FYPs that started in 1929, it would be unlikely for the USSR to industrialize in time to resist Nazi invasion. In fact, the Germans themselves were surprised by how fast the Soviets could churn out entire mechanized divisions during the invasion itself.
I always joke that if Deng, by chance or by life circumstances, had arrived at the USSR just a few years later in 1930-31, so instead of witnessing the NEP, he would have seen what the first, early stage of FYP looked like, his later reform in China could very well have taken a radically different turn.
He got one thing right about the CPC out of pure contrarianism against Stalin saying the CPC should self-liquidate, and Trots have been riding that coattail ever since.
30% of my knee-jerk anti-Trotsky feelings come from how insufferable he was and 70% come from how insufferable Trotskyists tend to be.
There’s far worse crimes than being insufferable, though-- worthy of actual criticism. Like actively trying to undermine and sabotage a precarious revolution.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:
Ahhhh
I figured as much, but that doesn’t mean absolutely everything this person says is bunk.
Re the 2nd video:
As the story goes, Stalin was Lenin’s right-hand-man and the person slated to succeed him upon his death. Or if not Stalin, sometimes emphasis is placed on Leon Trotsky as a possible alternative. However, in actuality there was a man more senior than both Stalin and Trotsky, a man who was Lenin’s original right-hand-man: Yakov Sverdlov. Up to his untimely death in 1919, Sverdlov held the reins of the Secretariat, placing him in a position to succeed Lenin if the opportunity arose. He was effectively Stalin before Stalin, serving as the blueprint for the latter’s rise to power.
I never fully trusted this claim from this primary source, and actually trust it more now knowing the CIA never said it as an org but instead just one informant. If the CIA had said it, I’d be more afraid that they were only saying it to get an angle on the USSR by doing so. This makes it more credible.
I refuse absolutely the claim that this makes this useless or wrong. Some people not reading further to understand the context is a problem, but not our problem directly. Instead, we should just reply to the spreading of this document with more information. Anna Louise Strong (like @Cowbee@hexbear.net said) has tons of sources and good information about Stalin’s real powers and usage of them. And Losurdo’s “Stalin: History and Critique of a Black Legend” has tons of citations for this too, as well as being a good enough argument to cite itself. If anyone wants the citatinos, I would be willing to re-read relevant parts and find the pieces referenced. Its strength is the fact that it almost solely uses anti-Stalinists to make its claims.
really loving the word [extremely Al Pacino voice] “citatinos” and I implore you not to fix the typo
Hahahah I’ll leave it! I’m usually typing on a computer without English autocorrect so I fuck it up easy, or English autocorrect on my phone fucks me up and I miss it. This is one of the better mistakes
That exact claim played a significant role in pushing me away from anarchism and towards ML a few years ago. Despite being somewhat skeptical to the claim, I still ultimately bought into it without more consideration, and I must’ve repeated it to others on multiple occasions. This was very foolish and irresponsible of me, yet nobody stopped this shameful behavior, either.
The CIA document, as the video points out, is weak if used alone. However, there does exist good evidence of the soviet system of democracy. Defense of Stalin against Red Scare mythology is complex, and ultimately Stalin was neither a saint nor a monster, but a socialist head of state under extremely turbulent conditions.
I myself have used the CIA report, not because it absolves Stalin of any excess (which is to fictionalize Stalin into a saintly figure), but because of the line describing his leadership style as more of a “captain of a team,” which is backed up by reporters like Anna Louise Strong’s first hand experience.
Finally, it’s important for any ML to recognize that no socialist project has been free of sin, no socialist leader without bloodless hands, including innocent blood. People often get caught up in historical debates more than they do material reality of today. We must know our history to know how best to learn from our mistakes, but too often Marxists debate which historical figure was morally superior, vs which was theoretically and practically correct.
Stalin was more correct than Trotsky regarding the issues they debated at the time, such as socialism in one country vs permanent revolution. Stalin had a better theoretical line regarding the peasantry, and ultimately did oversee the world’s first Marxist state and navigated tumultuous waters. Trotsky did more than a fair amount to undermine socialism, and Trotskyist organizations have been more of an enemy to socialism than an ally, with few exceptions. Trotksy was sometimes correct, though, such as analyzing fascism. Neither were perfect saints nor devils, even if Stalin was better than Trotsky.
All in all, what’s important is connecting theory with practice, learning as we go. If the strength of our ideology rests more on the morality of those that contributed to the creation and refinement of Marxism-Leninism than to the actual practical use of said ideology, then Marx would roll in his grave.
It was certainly foolish and irresponsible of us (I am also guilty of it), but the CIA conforming to the liberal view isn’t all that surprising when they are working with a hypothesis that they didn’t have all that much ability to falsify and didn’t have information from the Soviet archives about, for example, Stalin being repeatedly outvoted on basic issues.
As I recall, here’s another famous note “from the CIA” about Cuba, specifically how attempts to create broad opposition within Cuba to the communist regime have failed even in the extreme circumstances Cuba has faced for its whole existence, and the only remaining option (in so many words) is to use sanctions to just turn Cuba into a failed state. I now wonder what the provenance of that note is and if it reflects or conflicts with better sources . . .
Hopefully people watch the video and the claim does not continue to go unchallenged
You’d probably have more success making an “effortpost” about it that’s basically just a transcript of this video with a less ambiguous title and a few other minor changes.
Yep tbh I’ll never watch this video but an effort post I would read
This is not a bad summary, at least in regards to the document in question, but not necessarily the part about evaluating primary sources:
According to a claim circulating online, there is a CIA document or internal communication from the 1950s asserting that Joseph Stalin was not a dictator. The existence of this document is cited as proof either that Stalin was not a dictator after all, or at least that even the CIA didn’t think he was. However, looking at the document in question, we see it is not a pronouncement of fact by the CIA whatsoever, but an anecdotal information report submitted to CIA information gatherers. As such, the document is a primary source representing the perspective of one anonymous informant, not the opinion of the CIA as a whole. Additionally, the document is contradicted by dozens of more reliable or detailed documents obtained or created by the CIA in the same period, indicating that they did not believe Stalin was non-dictatorial as claimed.
It’s not enough that I found the video but I also have to sell it
Just watch it you bunch of
s.You’ll learn to be more mindful of primary sources and try to evaluate them.
Trots wake up one day and be like “Today I will make a video attacking my own side’s propaganda to help the capitalists.”

I like what RedWizard had to say elsewhere in this thread.
One of the things that does make this item of agitprop so effective is that it takes a ‘trusted source’ in the minds of liberals and turns it on them. They have no real pre-programmed response to this kind of message. This, however, will begin to fail to be effective and rightfully paint those who parriot [sic] it as shallow agents peddeling [sic] in simple misinformation that they themselves cannot even identify. Sources like the ones presented in this video, which effectively state, “The CIA was stairing [sic] at a black box, unable to expose it’s inner workings, and deriving its function purly [sic] from its form,” could be more persuasive. It would need to be followed up, however, with more current Soviet archive research.
I don’t see why that should be done if not confronted with corrections and arguments. Pre-emptively turning a highly effective one line argument into a significantly less effective wall of text on the possibility that it might be refuted with this argument when I have never seen a single person counter it this way not even once in decades of using it seems like breaking your own kneecaps.
Agreed, it’s an imperfect source that can be used in addition to better sources at best. Doing good persuasion and agitprop requires a realistic and grounded view, not just dogmatically upholding the flattering and dogmatically dismissing the unflattering. The flattering can be twisted into hurting more than good, contextual but unflattering pieces in the right circumstances.
Seems like bad agitprop to me
Bad why? Because it might not be wholly truthful? The goal of propaganda is not to tell the truth but to achieve a goal. The goal of this particular propaganda is to help in creating more socialists by softening views of the USSR. This explanation against the propaganda has existed for decades and yet I have never seen libs make it, not once, not a single fucking time.
The propaganda achieves the goal of helping to create more communists. Therefore I will continue to use it. Especially when it is exceptionally effective. If that ever changes, then I will move on from it.
Turns out there is no such thing as one person controlling a government unilaterally
Edit: welp, see below
This video isn’t saying that. The video is saying that this CIA document isn’t evidence that “there is no such thing as one person controlling a government unilaterally” and that it is even an authoritative opinion from the CIA as an organization. Presenting it as such is easily disproven, and there is far more documentation of a higher level of authority within the CIA at the time, exposing that the CIA did in fact believe Stalin was a dictator.
It doesn’t take a position on the nature of Stalin’s level of power relative to the collective management of the Soviet Union. It is only pointing out how weak this document is as evidence of the claim that “even the CIA didn’t believe Stalin was a dictator.” Then effectively calls on the viewer to act and discard this document as a vehicle for agitprop and find new material.
Fair enough
I don’t think you’ve watched the video
You’re right, I’ve been owned. I honestly find it pretty surprising that they believe he was an autocrat, not because of the note but because it’s a silly idea that isn’t true even of military dictators or kings.
Looking at the transcription that was helpfully written, I think our friend does overcorrect on a trivial point when looking at the text itself, because the text really does say that Stalin, while being very powerful, still was part of a larger body. The author does not say that he has “near-absolute” power like our friend says it does. I don’t even understand why they make this argument when they already made a perfectly solid argument to discard this evidence as worthless, and it just makes their claim look weaker rhetorically.
[This video is 14min long, 7min long at 2x speed naturally, and easy to listen to at 2x speed]
All this to say, please stop using the CIA report as some sort of proof that Stalin wasn’t a dictator. This is an unevaluated antidotal report from one unnamed source, not a statement of fact by the CIA. Even if that was legitimately what the 1950s CIA as a whole believed, which they didn’t, that wouldn’t sufficiently prove the claim anyway. This report is not the proof you think it is, and the fact that it’s been touted as conclusive for so long despite the obvious shortcomings would say more about current research standards than any of the actual realities of Stalin’s regime. [emphasis mine]
This is a good video, and this closing statement is a good summarization of why. One of the things that does make this item of agitprop so effective is that it takes a ‘trusted source’ in the minds of liberals and turns it on them. They have no real pre-programmed response to this kind of message. This, however, will begin to fail to be effective and rightfully paint those who parriot it as shallow agents peddeling in simple misinformation that they themselves cannot even identify. Sources like the ones presented in this video, which effectively state, “The CIA was stairing at a black box, unable to expose it’s inner workings, and deriving its function purly from its form,” could be more persuasive. It would need to be followed up, however, with more current Soviet archive research.
This report, if anything, is a crutch that should be retired in favor of other more irrefutable documentation.
To me, it seems like it’s still a good piece of agitprop in the beginning, but as communism, anarchism, socialism become more popular and people become more generally knowledgeable about them, then the counter arguments will start to become more sophisticated (like the arguments about the communists stabbing the anarchists in the back during the Russian Revolution or Spanish Civil War). That’s when it doesn’t look great when you peddle this argument and you get countered without any more to say because you never had to say more than that lol.

all states are class dictatorships. during the time this report was written the US was basically an apartheid state
Please stop missing the point of the post comrades.
“Stalin wasn’t a dictator! Even the CIA didn’t think so!”
is not good propaganda. That’s all the video is saying. We shouldn’t care what the CIA thinks anyway, and we can discuss whether Stalin actually was or was not a “dictator” in another post.
Why isn’t it good propaganda? What criteria are you making to determine that? And why should we ignore the CIA, whether it’s internal analyses or external publications? It seems like your smuggling lots of idealistic principles into this.
Making up a guy, and owning him in the free marketplace of ideas 😎 Good video tho ig, thanks.
Idk how much the CIA’s analyses can be relied on regardless of what they said about him.
Does the CIA think Maduro is a dictator?
Does the CIA think Maduro is a dictator?
Publicly? Or internally?
Same situation as Stalin. Public propaganda does not reflect the internal understanding of the organisation.
Idk, it’s hard to say due to the secretive nature of the org but going off pure vibes, I get the feeling that these days the CIA is staffed with a lot of true believers and that they actually believe the BS.
As the video here highlights their understanding of Stalin was, contrary to that one frequently cited page, that he was pretty much an autocrat. And back then they were probably more objective than now, when the people working there grew up soaked in the propaganda from birth.
I’d be willing to bet their internal understanding of Maduro mostly aligns with the propaganda. I think that may be part of the reason that their various regime change attempts over the last 10 years (and more going back to Chavez) have failed so completely.
High on their own supply, with a contingent of extremely capable people who are not and understand the difference between propaganda and reality.
I guess we’ll have to wait until 2070 to know for sure
Because some expressed not being interested in watching this video, here is the transcript. Youtube transcripts have limited, if any, punctuation, so I ran it through DeepSeek to add punctuation and rewatched the video while reading along to confirm its accuracy.
If you’ve searched the web for info on Stalin, you may have heard the claim that there is a CIA document concluding that Stalin wasn’t a dictator—that even they had to admit it. This document is touted as proof either that he wasn’t a dictator, or at least that even the CIA didn’t believe he was, despite the propaganda they were spewing about him.
Now, I won’t be discussing here if Stalin was or wasn’t a dictator, or how Soviet leadership actually worked; that’ll be a separate video, if anything. Today, I just want to look at this one document and see if it truly serves as the compelling evidence that people think it does. In so doing, we’ll also see a bit of an example of how to evaluate a source in general.
So, here is the document in question. It’s a two-page information report from 1955 and released to the public in 2008, as can be seen here on cia.gov. Before we analyze the text itself, though, let’s first ask ourselves some questions to determine its basis as a source, as the background and context behind a document are in many ways just as important for evaluating it appropriately.
The first question we might ask is: who is behind this document? As in, who is the author? Probably what bugs me the most when people talk about this document is they say “the CIA,” as in “the CIA said,” “the CIA concluded,” “the CIA admitted.” But that isn’t the case at all. For one, the CIA collects information reports from thousands of sources, agents, and informants of varying levels of veracity and credibility all the time. Maybe we could say “the CIA” metonymically if we’re talking about an organization-wide statement, policy, or official ruling by, say, the upper leadership. A good start would be a memorandum, or beyond that, an official report, which will usually note who prepared it. However, this is not the case of our document. It’s specifically an “information report,” meaning it’s an input, not an output. The text is labeled “unevaluated information,” which is what the CIA labels its raw or unfinished information that it collects at the beginning of the intelligence cycle, meaning the text has not been verified for its accuracy, nor is it necessarily representative of the agency’s opinion. These are quote “comments from an anonymous source” who presumably spoke these words or gave them to the CIA to be recorded, meaning we simply don’t know who is behind this. Was it some low-level bureaucrat? Foreign observer? How well did they know the Soviet Union? Were they a Soviet defector? In any case, the document definitely needs to be contextualized as the comments or opinions of one particular person at a particular place and time, not some declarative, definitive statement by the CIA. This is not an official finding; it’s not even an internal memo; it’s an anecdotal report given to CIA information gatherers.
Plus, the Soviet Union was notoriously a hard target for the CIA, with scarcely any reliable sources on the ground. As one scholar has put it, “Neither the CIA nor US military intelligence was able to recruit a single agent with access to the innermost secrets of the Kremlin or the Soviet High Command.” Point being, we’re almost certainly working with hearsay from someone without direct knowledge of the inner workings of the Soviet government. They might not even be a Soviet citizen. And what’s more, we lack the ability to judge fully how credible, biased, experienced, or believable this source was as well. This alone more or less debunks the argument given, but let’s continue.
The second thing we normally ask is: why are they saying what they’re saying? What was their purpose in writing this info, and how did they come to know it? Unfortunately, we again don’t have much to go off of for that either. The comment in question is basically just a paragraph, and so the source doesn’t justify or explain why they believe this, which means even if there was a factual claim in here, this wouldn’t be a great source for it.
Also, on the subject of purpose, many people, beginning from the erroneous conclusion that this is an official memo, will assume they had no reason to lie about their enemies behind closed doors. But for one, as already said, this is an input to the CIA, and so we have to think about the source’s purpose in reporting it to them. Did they have strategic or personal motivations? Were they just plain incorrect or deliberately disinformative? For the same reason as before, we can’t really answer that. But from the context we do have, their purpose seems to be to inform on the current internal stability in the country, meaning this wasn’t really intended to be used as a statement on Stalin’s reign.
But second, we can also look for evidence intertextually as well. If it was true that the CIA believed or knew deep down that Stalin wasn’t really a dictator, why would that need to be said to the CIA in a report of theirs? As in, what structural purpose would this document serve in enabling their work in that regard? Remember, we’re looking at their paperwork here. Such documents don’t usually outright say, “Let’s lie about this or that”; the documents themselves are written from the perspective of believing, or wanting people to believe in, the lie. So we would expect to find more indirect insinuations or reactions to the belief, or just any documentation of actions taken as if he wasn’t a dictator, not a literal statement saying he isn’t.
Anyway, these are things to consider when evaluating a source, which might not rule out the information from being true, but at the least tell you how much stock you should put into believing a claim by itself. In our case, it’s clear that this is a weak source; it has inexact origins and is being misconstrued to imply something it was never really meant to imply.
But while we’re here, let’s at least evaluate the text itself and see if it actually says anything significant. It begins:
“Even in Stalin’s time there was Collective leadership. The Western idea of a dictator within the Communist setup is exaggerated. Misunderstandings on that subject are caused by lack of comprehension of the real nature and organization of the Communist Party structure.”
So we start off with a claim that the Western idea is exaggerated, perhaps because it doesn’t take into account collective leadership, which was a Soviet ideal that, in theory, leadership decisions should be made as a group. Thus far, though, this isn’t necessarily saying there was no dictatorship at all, but it’s at least disagreeing with the Western idea of it.
It continues:
“Stalin, although holding wide powers, was merely the captain of a team, and it seems obvious that Khrushchev will be the new captain. However, it does not appear that any of the present leaders will rise to the stature of Lenin and Stalin, so that it will be safer to assume that developments in Moscow will be along the lines of what is called Collective leadership, unless Western policies force the Soviets to streamline their power organization.”
So from this we learn that some collective leadership was always there, with Lenin and Stalin being strong leaders who coincided with less collective leadership, and future leaders probably would allow more. The assumption, though, is that it will now grow post-Stalin.
And finally:
“The present situation is the most favorable from the point of view of upsetting the Communist dictatorship since the death of Stalin.”
So, taken together, the source seems to believe there is a dictatorship in the Soviet Union, that Stalin was the captain, but that his absolute power or singularity is often exaggerated. As it so happens, this understanding is closer to the conclusion that many modern scholars have arrived at: that Stalin wasn’t a despot in the sense of having absolute, total power, but he was still dictatorial in the sense of having near-absolute power at the head of a small, unaccountable group of people. So our claim isn’t exactly earth-shattering.
But to get back to the point, even if this document was 100% factual, it doesn’t exactly say the Soviet government was non-dictatorial. It definitely doesn’t say it was democratic, had checks and balances, or anything like that. There’s no indication of Stalin being constrained by the people, for example. It’s at best only saying, in the opinion of the source at least, there was more of an oligarchic dictatorship rather than a one-man dictatorship.
Now, as already noted, the first two lines are often cited without explaining the full context, or indeed even looking at the rest of the page. But more importantly, what about cherry-picking of this document as a whole compared to others? From a cursory glance, there are literally dozens of CIA documents calling Stalin a dictator created around the same time, and many of these actually have better provenance or detail.
For example, in another information report made the year prior, with the exact same clearance level and apparent manner of obtainment, we read about “the cult of Stalin,” “the visible evils of despotism,” and “the struggle to establish a new dictator.” It continues: “Stalin was a fanatic, an all-powerful dictator with a persecution complex and a mania for greatness.” So on what grounds is our information report to be believed, but this other, equally as valid information report is to be ignored?
[continued below]
So, taken together, the source seems to believe there is a dictatorship in the Soviet Union, that Stalin was the captain, but that his absolute power or singularity is often exaggerated. As it so happens, this understanding is closer to the conclusion that many modern scholars have arrived at: that Stalin wasn’t a despot in the sense of having absolute, total power, but he was still dictatorial in the sense of having near-absolute power at the head of a small, unaccountable group of people. So our claim isn’t exactly earth-shattering.
But to get back to the point, even if this document was 100% factual, it doesn’t exactly say the Soviet government was non-dictatorial. It definitely doesn’t say it was democratic, had checks and balances, or anything like that. There’s no indication of Stalin being constrained by the people, for example. It’s at best only saying, in the opinion of the source at least, there was more of an oligarchic dictatorship rather than a one-man dictatorship.
I find it really weird that they have done such a good job thinking critically to disabuse us of the validity of this source but then do such a bad job interpreting its contents. “Wide powers” does not mean “near-absolute” power, even the President of the US has “wide powers” and he obviously is not a dictator (though we can make token remarks about how the current one is trying with the expansion of the police state, etc.) Then this is backpedaled to calling the SU a bureaucracy, which I actually agree with, but it doesn’t really reconcile these views, so it’s like a preemptive motte-and-bailey.
checks and balances
, not because of the concept of checking power, but because “checks and balances” is a phrase popularized by liberals specifically to describe a liberal system that demonstrably neither checks nor balances anything other than (occasionally) the public appearance of a government.
Or what about this one from 1947, stating that “ever greater concentration of power in the hands of Stalin himself is taking place. During the war he was already, to all intents and purposes, a dictator with unlimited powers, but at that time this was considered as a temporary state of affairs. It has now been made permanent. The USSR has now entered upon a period of personal dictatorship.” This report, by the way, is also just far more detailed, with dozens of points explaining the argument.
But then we move beyond the realm of just information reports—meaning beyond just the raw intelligence—and look at the processed memorandums, briefs, and research reports prepared by the CIA from these inputs. For example, in a staff discussion just after Stalin’s death, everyone seems to agree that he was a personal dictator. They talk about if “the enormous power concentrated in Stalin personally could be transferred to a successor or successors.” One person “[REDACTED] began by stating flatly that any concept of solidarity or cooperative committee relations among the men in the top ruling group was utter nonsense,” said he “[REDACTED] believed that modern totalitarianism inevitably removedd into personal dictatorship. Stalin had become more and more like Hitler.”
Meanwhile, in another analysis, “Stalinism is defined as the theory and practice connected with Stalin’s personal dictatorship, one-man rule.” In the analysis of Khrushchev’s secret speech, we read: “The Soviet leadership has recently reaffirmed that the Soviet people are irrevocably subordinated to authoritarian one-party dictatorship, iron discipline, individual leadership—in spite of the now proven fact that the party could not protect the people, the Soviet state, or itself against a Stalin.”
And okay, one more: “Pure collectivity—the equal sharing of power and authority by a number of men—has never existed in the USSR. Stalin had succeeded in establishing an almost absolute dictatorship.” And on and on they go.
So in sum, our document is already in the least credible category of reports and is contradicted by other, more detailed reports of the same type. But on top of that, it’s contradicted in the more reliable categories repeatedly. Perhaps most revealing of all, none of these documents imply the CIA knew or acted as if Stalin wasn’t a dictator. I could highlight every last instance of them literally saying the words “dictator,” but what’s more important is how they report on him and Soviet politics in general with the assumption that the system works dictatorially. For example, there’s no talk of “elections are underway; we have to try to influence the results,” or “we’re not sure who the people will support,” or “Stalin be outvoted.” Here, they’re talking about how the supreme leader acts and what they expect he personally will do.
Now, in the end, any such document at best tells us what the CIA thought about the Soviet Union, not necessarily what it actually was. They may have their reasons, but they’re not infallible either. The CIA certainly had a lot of resources behind it and motivation to understand their enemy, but they were still an outside observer trying to peek across the Iron Curtain. To quote one analysis: “The CIA and Western intelligence in general faced an extremely difficult task in the early years of the Cold War, particularly in attempting to gain insights into the Soviet leadership, its deliberations, and what they intended to do. Joseph Stalin’s Soviet Union was in several, if not most, respects a secret state.”
So the CIA shouldn’t be misconstrued as this authoritative, all-knowing source. It would be folly to take one comment in any such report as some smoking gun proving the fact, and that goes both for and against Stalin being a dictator. Such an assertion will be proven not by an off-hand CIA remark, but by examining the actual material reality on the ground and the much more revealing, reliable sources that the '50s CIA didn’t have access to—namely, the Soviet government’s own internal documents. So it’s no wonder historians spend more time in the Soviet archives than on cia.gov.
All this to say: please stop using this CIA report as some sort of proof that Stalin wasn’t a dictator. This is an unevaluated, anecdotal report from one unnamed source, not a statement of fact by the CIA. Even if that was legitimately what the 1950s CIA as a whole believed—which they didn’t—that wouldn’t sufficiently prove the claim anyway. This report is not the proof you think it is, and the fact that it’s been touted as conclusive for so long despite the obvious shortcomings would say more about current research standards than any of the actual realities of Stalin’s regime.
Footnotes
-
“Comments on the Change in Soviet Leadership,” 2 March 1955, https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/document/cia-rdp80-00810a006000360009-0.
-
The “Intelligence Cycle”, and the obtainment of raw, human intelligence (“HUMINT”) is discussed in the following: Mariusz Antoni Kamiński, “Intelligence Sources in the Process of Collection of Information by the U.S. Intelligence Community,” Security Dimensions, no. 32 (2019): 82–105 (esp. 82–90); John Hollister Hedley, “The Challenges of Intelligence Analysis,” in Strategic Intelligence, ed. Loch K. Johnson, vol. 1 (Westport: Praeger Security International, 2007), 123–38.
-
“The Soviet Party Leadership,” 3 April 1972, page 1, https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130045-3.pdf.
-
This can be confirmed by looking at CIA documents which discuss their internal procedures and document types, such as: “Dissemination of CIA Reports,” https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP78-04718A000400090035-2.pdf; “Dissemination of CIA Unevaluated Information Reports,” https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP78-04718A002700080033-0.pdf; “Dissemination of Intelligence,” 1 January 1954, https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP78-03362A000700030001-8.pdf; for background on the types of intelligence collected by the CIA and its processing into “finished intelligence”, see: John Hollister Hedley, “Challenges of Intelligence Analysis,” 125–127.
-
Fischer clarifies that HUMINT may include reporting from clandestine agents, as well as “overt reporting from foreign intelligence officers, diplomats, and attachés based on personal observations and professional contacts… allied foreign (‘‘liaison’’) services…émigrés and defectors from the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, as well as open sources such as newspapers, radio and television broadcasts, and official government statements.” Benjamin B. Fischer, “‘We May Not Always Be Right, but We’re Never Wong’: US Intelligence Assessments of the Soviet Union, 1972–91,” in The Image of the Enemy: Intelligence Analysis of Adversaries Since 1945, ed. Paul Maddrell (Washington: Georgetown University Press, 2015), 96.
-
This will be explored in more detail in a dedicated video, but an introduction to this argument can be found in: Sheila Fitzpatrick, On Stalin’s Team: The Years of Living Dangerously in Soviet Politics (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2015); E. A. Rees, ed., The Nature of Stalin’s Dictatorship: The Politburo, 1924–1953 (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2004), esp. chapters 1–3. 7.
-
https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP80S01540R003100120009-1.pdf
-
“Inner Antagonisms in the Leadership of the All-Russian Communist Party and Stalin’s New Government,” 18 August 1947, page 1, https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP80-00809A000500830068-3.pdf.
-
More specifically, a meeting of specialists (including members of the Board of National Estimates, its staff, and other Soviet consultants) was held after Stalin’s death to discuss the Soviet power structure, and to determine if Stalin’s death was likely to destabilize the Eastern Bloc or not, and the results of this meeting were then summarized in a memorandum produced for CIA leadership. Whether or not the Soviet Union or Eastern Bloc would be destabilized by changes in Soviet leadership or its decisions is a reoccuring theme throughout all the documents, which makes sense considering the CIA was primarily tasked with analyzing Soviet policy for the purposes of informing American response.
“Meeting of <Sanitized> Consultants,” 25 April 1953, pages 1–7, https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP80B01676R004000050088-9.pdf. -
"Titoism and Soviet Communism: An Analysis and Comparison of Theory and Practice, October 1957, page 17, https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP80T00246A073800530001-4.pdf.
-
“Materials for Exploitation of Soviet Sensitivities Revealed by the 30 June CPSU Resolution and Other Soviet Statements,” July 1956, page 17, https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP78-02771R000200300001-3.pdf.
-
“The Soviet Leadership: Toward a New Configuration?” 7 November 1972, page 2, https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP85T00875R002000120025-5.pdf.
-
As the rest of the memorandum concludes, Rosefielde wasn’t entirely correct in his criticism and lacked full understanding of the CIA’s internal processes, but this is still an interesting example of the CIA being quite off-base:
“Comments on ‘Why the CIA’s Estimate of Soviet Defense Procurement Was Off by 200%: The Economic Consequences of Quality Change’ by Steven Rosefielde,” 1 January 1977, https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP80M00165A002400080004-7.pdf.
This memorandum also accords with the conclusion made by Moskoff in 1981, based on the unclassified information up to that point, which was that the CIA was generally competent and skilled in analyzing hard facts, such as economic statistics, but was perhaps too pessimistic in its new predictions. Although this article is interesting given what was just around the corner: William Moskoff, “CIA Publications on the Soviet Economy,” Slavic Review 40, no. 2 (1981): 269–72; Fischer notes that American intelligence agencies were successful in monitoring Soviet weapons systems, and pioneered estimative intelligence, but had a frequent problem of poor quality intelligence especially in regards to Soviet decisionmaking; Benjamin B. Fischer, “'US Intelligence Assessments,” 94–95. -
Huw Dylan, David V. Gioe, and Michael S. Goodman, The CIA and the Pursuit of Security: History, Documents and Contexts (Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press, 2020), 64.
Video/Film Sources
-
De Sampigny, Serge, Yvan Demelandre, and Mathieu Schwartz, dirs. Stalin in Color. C. Productions, 2014. https://archive.org/details/docu.-war.-stalin.-in.-colour.-hdtv.x-264.720p.-ac-3.-mvgroup.org.
-
Klotz, Georges, dir. Science Of Spying. NBC, 1965.
https://archive.org/details/science-of-spying-secrets-of-the-cia. -
Our History, “12 December 1937, Elections to the Supreme Soviet of the USSR,” https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x95rpb4.
-
SRAS, “Russian Archives and SRAS Archive Services,” 26 December 2020,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E_mSoPl5R2M.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:
-
Pretty interesting channel
Found out about it from this comment
I actually watched their abbey road video a while ago. Turns out this person is also a big soviet history nerd lol
Lmao. I just got into this topic with someone.
I found a YouTube link in your post. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:


















