• ShittyBeatlesFCPres@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    152
    arrow-down
    2
    ·
    10 days ago

    I’ll go by (very broad) regions:

    The United States experiences a brain drain and Trump’s death (all but inevitable in 10 years, whether by natural causes or other means), will cause a major rift in the Republican Party. Democrats will somehow fail to capitalize on it and then blame online leftists, famously the kingmakers of American politics.

    Canada will become a de facto part of Europe. Bike lanes will be added.

    Europe will experience an economic boom as it’s basically forced to develop new industries, becomes the default destination for scientific research, and the Euro begins to replace the dollar as the currency of choice for international trade contracts. France, especially, will benefit as it isn’t reliant on the U.S. for military support, space launch capabilities, etc. and will become the default NATO weapons supplier.

    Russia will have a deep post-war depression even if it takes Kyiv due to brain drain and sending so many young men into a meat grinder.

    China will have a medium-sized economic crisis but ultimately (after Xi) enact long needed reforms (kind of like when Mao died and Deng Xiaoping enacted reforms).

    India will have a major crisis as Hindu Nationalism goes too far and people begin to revolt.

    Central Asia will keep on keeping on. (I don’t know a lot about Central Asia.)

    Latin America will increase trade with China and Europe at the expense of the United States. Bolsonaro will go to the hospital 50 more times and be bit by an even more exotic bird. Argentina will benefit most from the decline of the U.S. as a reliable trading partner.

    Israel will annex the West Bank and Arab countries will isolate it. Saudi Arabia’s line city will still be in the planning stages. Iran will develop a nuclear deterrent but the power of the Supreme Leader will be weakened and shift to the elected officials because of economic problems.

    The Maghreb will benefit from Europe’s rise and increased trade. West Africa will experience an economic and population boom and become an inexpensive manufacturing hub. The Horn of Africa will probably remain a shitshow (but hopefully I’m wrong about that). Central and Southern Africa will also experience significant growth but at a slower pace than West Africa.

    Australia will lose another war with emus as New Zealand wisely allies with the Emus. They will force Australia into a humiliating peace deal that ultimately leads to a third Emu War, much like WWI’s onerous peace terms led to WWII.

    Ocean acidification and rising sea levels will begin to fuck everyone and scientists will scream about it but it’ll be the following decades when that sort of thing really wrecks the world economy.

    Nintendo will somehow sell me the same games for the 5th time.

  • Ceedoestrees@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    91
    arrow-down
    5
    ·
    10 days ago

    Trump either dies suspiciously or gets openly assassinated.

    California secedes from the union which starts off hopeful but ends in their own Calexit debacle.

    The severing of intercontinental data cables leads to the isolation of formerly global communities.

    • Odelay42@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      20
      arrow-down
      2
      ·
      10 days ago

      There are more Republicans in California than Texas. Secession is not gonna happen.

        • ShittyBeatlesFCPres@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          7 days ago

          You should read about Louisiana (and especially New Orleans, then the largest city in the South) and how ridiculous the whole thing was. Basically, New Orleans didn’t want to secede but the state governor rigged the vote. So, the city surrendered without a shot fired. No casualties on either side. It was even admitted back into the Union and had congressional representation.

          But the Union sent down a general from Massachusetts to run the city. He did some good things (like upgrade the sewer system) but women, especially, didn’t like the occupation and Union troops so he issued an edict:

          As the officers and soldiers of the United States have been subject to repeated insults from the women (calling themselves ladies) of New Orleans in return for the most scrupulous non-interference and courtesy on our part, it is ordered that hereafter when any female shall by word, gesture, or movement insult or show contempt for any officer or soldier of the United States she shall be regarded and held liable to be treated as a woman of the town plying her avocation.

          He basically called New Orleans women prostitutes. And it was a PR disaster so bad that even European newspapers condemned him in editorials. One British newspaper wrote:

          If he had possessed any of the honourable feeling which is usually associated with a soldier’s profession, he would not have made war on women. If he had even been endowed with the ordinary magnanimity of a Red Indian, his revenge would have been satiated before now. It required not only the nature of a savage, but of a very mean and pitiful kind of savage, to be induced by indignation at a woman’s smile to inflict an imprisonment so degrading in its character as that which seems to constitute his favourite punishment, and accompanied by privations so cruel… It is only a pity that so unadulterated a barbarian should have got hold of an Anglo-Saxon name.

          He was popular with free black and poor white residents and not a bad administrator. But he was an incompetent general and politician so he was replaced and sent to take Texas, where he promptly lost.

          New Orleans had no major economic or cultural ties to the Confederacy and lots of free black residents so it was just a bizarre occupation where women poured chamber pots on Union soldiers for treating them like whores and he got all pissed off. But he was also good at city management, I guess? I don’t know what to make of his legacy. He probably would have been an amazing mayor of a city in New England but instead got piss and shit thrown on him in a city that is still basically ungovernable.

      • kreskin@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        6
        ·
        9 days ago

        We should be sending him free mcdonalds “tribute from his loving fans” every day. Quadruple cheese and extra mayo on everything.

    • 3DMVR@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      3
      ·
      9 days ago

      How, when all the republicans in california own the military

  • Snot Flickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    75
    arrow-down
    2
    ·
    edit-2
    10 days ago

    America will suffer an economic depression and become more isolationist which will allow the depression to continue unabated. Millions die of starvation and exposure.

  • humble_boatsman@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    67
    arrow-down
    9
    ·
    10 days ago

    Ameriscum here. Trump starts a war to create plausibility for holding on to executive power past current term limits. Which has happened in American history. Not the starting part as an ends to a means though. I’m scared.

    • Captain Aggravated@sh.itjust.works
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      19
      ·
      10 days ago

      …When in American history did a president start a war in order to serve more than two terms?

      45 men have served as President of the United States, two of them non-consecutively. The only one of them to serve more than two full terms was Franklin Delano Roosevelt from 1933 to 1945, being elected four times and dying in office. At the time, no term limits for President existed, and World War 2 was certainly not started by the United States.

      • humble_boatsman@sh.itjust.works
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        9
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        edit-2
        10 days ago

        Last sentence being: “not the starting the war part”

        I was referring exactly to Roosevelt and didn’t realize the term limit for presidents didn’t exist then.

        Again, I specifically said that about not starting a war but holding office indefinitely while a war was ongoing. Don’t know how to quote on mobile but, again, last sentence of original post.

        Sorry just bad at words. And history apparently.

        • Captain Aggravated@sh.itjust.works
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          20
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          10 days ago

          Yeah…FDR won the elections of 1932, 1936, 1940, and 1944. The United States entered World War 2 on December 7, 1941 with Japan’s near simultaneous declaration of war and attack on Pearl Harbor, with Germany following suit shortly thereafter.

          We’re talking about Franklin “New Deal” Roosevelt here, widely popular for his pro-labor stance and his “fireside chat” radio addresses. All four of his elections he carried a comfortable lead in the popular vote of 55 to 60% and won four landslides in the electoral college, in one case carrying all but two states. He really didn’t need the war as a pretext for remaining in office for what would turn out to be the last 4 months of his life.

          But, “America bad,” right? So lying about history is okay.

          • humble_boatsman@sh.itjust.works
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            2
            arrow-down
            3
            ·
            9 days ago

            I missed context on term limits and their timing with the war. I wasn’t even that far off. I never said america was bad and I didn’t lie towards making a prediction. As I welcomed your information.

            But thanks for reminding me, never interact with the Internet.

            I bet your kids call you captain_asshole

    • copymyjalopy@sh.itjust.works
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      7
      ·
      10 days ago

      This one is the most probable of all the replies. Mostly because Trump has been following Putin’s playback.

      Albeit it might not be a full on conflict with a new nation but just a significant escalation i.e. Taiwan and China.

    • nothingcorporate@lemmy.today
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      3
      ·
      9 days ago

      I’ve flirted with Linux off and on for 20 years, but MS forcing everyone to Win 11, stuffed with spyware, is the end of the road for me. Now on Linux full time. Linux isn’t about to take over the desktop, but I can see Windows shedding a couple million users a year as enshittification continues.

  • udon@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    39
    ·
    10 days ago

    More floods, storms, droughts, extreme heats, fewer animal/plant species, more garbage everywhere

  • conicalscientist@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    39
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    9 days ago

    Famine around the world. Global political instability + climate change + economic downturn = food scarcity.

    A high profile political assassination in the US or Europe.

    • GenXLiberal@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      8
      ·
      9 days ago

      The first time a ceo or politician gets assassinated by drone-strike will cause some severe lockdown on those things.

      No matter what country it happens in.

  • Norin@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    39
    arrow-down
    5
    ·
    9 days ago

    Trump will die and a new religious movement declaring him to be divine will gain a significant foothold among people who call themselves Christians in the US.

    • Lemminary@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      edit-2
      9 days ago

      I think Trump’s loyalists are more after what he pretends to offer. As one uncle said, “He made me rich!” If you take away the potential earnings, there’s not much to the guy but bullshit. Like, he’s not even good looking enough to hang his portrait on a wall without getting tired of his face.

  • Yerbouti@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    38
    arrow-down
    5
    ·
    edit-2
    9 days ago

    A war will happen.

    It will either be a civil war within the US but involving all of North America.

    Or the literal 3rd world war. With usa and Russia fighting against Europe, where Canada is one of the main battleground.

    I really wish I’m wrong, but I predicted drump’s colonialist ambition over Canada years ago. I also remember being laugh at by everyone around the table at a diner for saying conservatives were making nazism acceptable again. Well guess what…

    • Dasus@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      7
      arrow-down
      3
      ·
      9 days ago

      I’m no small-dicked overweight authoritarian dictator, but if I had to make guesses as to their thoughts, I’d say Putler was on the ropes last year, but since he managed to affect US elections enough that Trump won, Putler basically won.

      Now unless Europe takes the agreession or at least strongly unifies behind Ukraine, Ukraine might be forced into some kind of deal. I don’t belive they will go for any, so that’s not gonna work from Putler, despite him making Trump push it.

      But since Trump is actively burning down the US, I believe your assumption about a North-American war.

      If that happens though, Europe will weaken, and Putler could decide to ally with Xi Pooh, and… I don’t know who the fuck would stop them at that point.

      But… if world order is already a bit fucked at that point I propose legalising drugs to make it an actually usable market which will generate wealth (and we should already but no-one listens), because drug markets are global, so then South America might actually start straightening itself out if the cartels could see reason. (They’re brutal, but idk how many of them are actually ideologically fascist more than capitalist.)

      I really wish I’m wrong, but I predicted drump’s colonialist ambition over Canada years ago. I also remember being laugh at by everyone around the table at a diner so saying conservatives were making nazism acceptable again. Well guess what.

      Me too man. I read an NBCNews article today about Greenland and the way it was written, oh boy. Putler has given Trump a little bit of friendly advise on what sort of propaganda to start spreading. Or Putler is doing it for Trump idk.

      But it’s clear they’re trying to influence Greenland and eventually will support independence for it, so it’ll become less stable and better to be annexed in some way or another, by either Putler or Trump.

      I’m sure Putler would love a base on Greenland.

    • ivanafterall ☑️@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      3
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      9 days ago

      Or a revolutionary war. Less likely, maybe, but I think that’s what it’s down to. Will it be civil or revolutionary in nature?

  • Allero@lemmy.today
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    35
    arrow-down
    2
    ·
    10 days ago

    By level of confidence, from top to bottom:

    Bitcoin will dump soon and then raise up again around 2028

    Trump will stay in power until next elections (and yes, elections will still take place)

    Ukraine will have to surrender to Russia around late 2025-early 2026, boosting authoritarian regimes around the world

    Linux desktop share will raise to 6% by 2027

  • Like the wind...@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    33
    arrow-down
    2
    ·
    10 days ago

    The attacks on transgender people will spread to the rest of the LGBTQ community, then the disabled, then immigrants, then Jewish people, and so on. Because first they came for the transgender people and we didn’t speak out.

    Fediverse will be regulated by law or some nonsense, making it exactly like the centralized platforms.

    President Elon Musk serves half of his third term as permanent president of the United States. All public transit and bike lanes are abolished in favor of cars, and many people go broke after losing their jobs after being unable to afford to make it to work. Inflation is at an all time high with everyone being nostalgic about today’s prices where everything is still affordable. He also makes it illegal to be transgender. We go back to democracy when some rando who deliberately changed their name to a Mario character assassinates Musk.

    The next smash cuts a character everyone loves but also has the three house leaders.

    The International Brotherhood of Teamsters conveniently forgot about Amazon.

    Reddit shuts down or lives on as a husk like 𝕏. Or even better, Elon buys reddit, calls it 𝕏 Communities and throws out brand materials like “subreddit” in favor of generic “community”. Place becomes 𝕏 Draw and is only powered by AI image generators. Each pixel costs one dogecoin and users generate ai images at the resolution of the pixels they own.

    Nintendo’s next console is a Switch 3.

    Everyone has a folding phone now.

    • pleasestopasking@reddthat.com
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      20
      ·
      10 days ago

      The attacks on transgender people will spread to the rest of the LGBTQ community, then the disabled, then immigrants, then Jewish people, and so on. Because first they came for the transgender people and we didn’t speak out.

      I think it’s already done spread, this is not a “in the next ten years” situation. They’re speedrunning it.

    • moonlight@fedia.io
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      10
      ·
      10 days ago

      changed their name to a Mario character

      Is Musk going to be killed by his own daughter???

  • SexDwarf@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    31
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    9 days ago

    The today’s “brave new world” will start turning into Orwellian Big Brother society. It’s already happening. Of course neither option is great but I prefer drugs, orgies and idiots to surveillance, absolute police state and slaves/prisoners.

    • ivanafterall ☑️@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      9
      ·
      9 days ago

      It’s inadvisable to think about people being after you, “how would I hide,” etc…but if you give it a thought or two, you might realize it would already be very, very, very difficult to escape nearly omnipresent surveillance. You just need to put one or two headlines together…

      “Google Tracking Your Phone Even Before You Open App/Potentially Even When Phone is Off”

      “DOGE Has Gained Access to Americans’ Private Data”

      Etc… We let it sneak up on us and we’re going to find it’s seemingly all there at once.

      • SexDwarf@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        6
        ·
        9 days ago

        In Finland the Police has been demanding full access to fingerprints originally gathered for passports and IDs (of around three million citizens) which means that the police could use them for other than their intended purposes. AND it looks like the police is finally going to have their way in this matter. This is how a police state is build, one step at a time until it’s too late to complain.