If he keeps this up, he’ll drag the entire Republican Party down with him in 2024.

  • AstralWeekends
    link
    fedilink
    991 year ago

    To me, this article seems to be arguing that Trump will probably end up in the General election, but will lose by a wide margin because he has become more extreme and has pending legal action against him. I would say this sounds pretty similar to what many argued in 2016, though circumstances are admittedly very different now. What hasn’t changed is my lack of faith in a large percentage of the American population who either don’t vote or vote in hatred.

    • @atzanteol@sh.itjust.works
      link
      fedilink
      411 year ago

      It’s weird how people still bring up 2016 like 2020 didn’t happen. I get it, we can’t know for sure and people got burned that one time. But he’s hardly a winner.

    • Vegaprime
      link
      fedilink
      61 year ago

      2016 was pure gift. He was as surprised as everyone else when he won. He’s all in now, it’s that or prison.

  • HandsHurtLoL
    link
    fedilink
    391 year ago

    This article was like… if a YouTuber had a journalism job but no training. Pretty hard to read and editorialized heavily.

    Don’t believe anything you read about the trump machine imploding.

    Vote. Don’t be complacent.

    • @theragu40@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      61 year ago

      It is 100% worth remaining hungry, remaining diligent, remaining skeptical, remaining active.

      But we are in a very different climate right now. I think the big difference is that unlike 2015, people have actually seen what a trump presidency looks like. There are absolutely republicans that will refuse to vote for him, and he was bad enough that he will drive record high turnout from democrats.

  • sab
    link
    fedilink
    181 year ago

    Ah yes, because the stable genius depended so heavily on his marbles when he won the first time.

      • @justdoit@lemm.ee
        link
        fedilink
        21 year ago

        By the survey numbers that’s untrue, in terms of the share of voters. Gallup polls indicate the share of people who identify as Democrats has decreased consistently for about a decade, with a heavier decrease in the past three years.. Republicans have remained consistently lower than Dems, but that margin has shrunk considerably over the past decade. Independents make up the largest (and only growing) share of votes.

        Granted, this is just survey identification. I have no doubt voter registrations are much more partisan. But, I’d argue being de facto corralled into one of two political parties due to voter registration requirements isn’t the same as a “growing party”.

        • @PeleSpirit@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          31 year ago

          This is a very weird poll

          in terms of the share of voters

          I would argue that the huge amount of independents is everyone saying that they don’t want to be pigeon holed into anything online. No one wants that mail. We’ll never know how many R’s we’ve lost to the pandemic either, a lot of those states didn’t keep track of the deaths. I would never go on a Biden is awesome tour but he’s done way better than I ever thought he would/could. Trump & Desantis are actively and openly destroying democracy. So even if I call myself an independent, it’s an easy vote.

          • @justdoit@lemm.ee
            link
            fedilink
            31 year ago

            So I hope I don’t come off as too aggressive or anything here, I just want to combat as much of the classic Reddit misinformation while this space is still small

            the huge number of independents is everyone saying that they don’t want to be pigeon holed into anything online

            That isn’t how a Gallup poll works. It’s a randomized phone survey with elected participation. Now obviously there’s inherent self-selection bias with any such survey, but it’s still at least an indicator of trends. This type of poll is the best for assessing party sentiment, which is what the subject of the article is about and what my original comment was addressing.

            We’ll never know how many Rs we’ve lost to the pandemic either

            I don’t understand why people started thinking this? States may have done a bad job reporting cause of deaths, but the death still gets reported. Like… do people think there are a ton of unmarked graves in Florida or something?

            Excess deaths modeling over 2020-22 means it’s pretty easy to figure out how many people died in the pandemic. Whether those people were R voters can be reasonably predicted from county/demographic makeup, such as this study here..

            But to your point, if all we care about is who votes for whom in 2024, we can just survey that too. And surveys from basically every site, R or D funded, have the race at a dead heat with Biden only slightly edging out Trump.. Now as we learned in 2016, polls can be very, very wrong, but they’re really all we’ve got at this juncture.

            Again, hope you don’t read this as aggressive, I just want people to be better informed and stop listening to blog posts like they’re legitimate truths.

    • @TrismegistusMx@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      -61 year ago

      The role of Democrats is to be as ineffective as possible but still retaining the appearance of Independence from republicans.

      Biden is the worst choice, by necessity. If they picked a better candidate, they would have to represent.

  • @cultsuperstar@lemmy.mlB
    link
    fedilink
    91 year ago

    Doubtful. The more he rants and the crazier it sounds, the more his supporters love it. They foam at the mouth for his schtick.

    • Capt. Wolf
      link
      fedilink
      21 year ago

      Flood the media with as much insane rambling as you can. That way, when you tell the truth, it still sounds insane.

      His supporters will pick what they want from the salad he spits out and eat it up. Meanwhile, his dissenters have to work through it to make sense of it.

      He’s been playing psych games since day one.

    • EmperorHenry
      link
      fedilink
      11 year ago

      Yes, and Trump isn’t a unique evil, in terms of policy, he’s no different than Bush Jr or Regan. The rich people on TV just don’t like that he’s loud and rude.

      Trump is a monster, yes, but considering all the other candidates from 2016, we could’ve gotten a lot worse, Like Santorum, or Huckabee. Or Ted “bomb the middle east until the sand glows” Cruz. Or Hillary “single payer will never come to pass” Clinton

    • EnderWi99in
      link
      fedilink
      201 year ago

      Nobody cheated Bernie. He just wasn’t popular enough to win. My god, move on.

      • EmperorHenry
        link
        fedilink
        0
        edit-2
        1 year ago

        Super Delegates. The primary in 2016 was rigged for Hillary and the 2020 primary was rigged for Biden.

        The general was legit in both of those though.

      • Xeelee
        link
        fedilink
        -21 year ago

        That’s beside the point. The DNC rigged the primaries to hands the nomination to Biden. I wish they would spend as much energy fighting the fascists for once.

        • EmperorHenry
          link
          fedilink
          11 year ago

          The only difference between the two parties is what they virtue-signal about.

          They’re both in favor of more war, they’re both against fixing broken things here at home. Remember when Obama Pretended that Flint Michigan’s water was fine? Or Fracking causing flammable tap water in the middle of the country?

          Okay, Well Trump and republicans didn’t lift a fucking finger to fix either of those issues, and Biden probably isn’t even aware of those two problems. The richest country in the world has a large number of whole states now with toxic chemicals in their water supplies.

    • CIWS-30
      link
      fedilink
      81 year ago

      2016, I agree. He was cheated and could’ve beaten Trump.

      2020? Not so sure. Even Bernie himself admitted that Joe Biden’s pro working class policies and bottom up, middle out economic plan was very similar to his. He even said that his campaign team was so glad that Joe Biden didn’t run in 2016. Bernie himself stated that Joe Biden was so sincerely for the average working American, that even though Biden was basically “Bernie Lite”, he wasn’t sure he could win against Joe.

      If we look at what Joe Biden’s been doing for this country, including passing the infrastructure bills, limited gun restrictions, and the Inflation reduction act, we see that he is kind of “Bernie Lite” and honestly, it’s SO much better than Trump, that I’ll take it.

      • @humor_me@lemmy.fmhy.ml
        link
        fedilink
        -11 year ago

        I don’t disagree with what you say about being Bernie light, but it doesn’t mean that it wasn’t stolen away from Bernie (or at least whoever was going to be the viable challenger to Bernie). In the primaries, Biden was laughably irrelevant. The media was barely considering him a contender. Then one night the DNC made up their minds and had the entire machine mobilize to gaslight the primary.

        The main reason Biden is Bernie light is because he had to be as a political concession to unify the party.

      • EmperorHenry
        link
        fedilink
        -61 year ago

        Joe Biden isn’t in favor of the working class, he proved that when he forced the rail workers to continue working.

        Biden promised $2000 checks, he gave us $600, he promised a lot of very progressive things and in most of those cases he’s done the right-wing thing to do on those issues.

        Kids are still in cases as the mexican border and he was VP when Obama started doing that, if he had a problem with it, he could’ve said something about it then or better yet, he could do something about it now, but he hasn’t and he won’t. He was in favor of segregation back in the day and said that he didn’t want his kids “growing up in a racial jungle” Again, that’s Biden’s words on that issue, back when he was a senator and his hair was a lot darker.

        Biden wrote the mandatory minimum sentencing laws on crack and heroine, but won’t apply that standard to his son who’s on video with possession of enough crack to get about 20 life sentences.

      • EmperorHenry
        link
        fedilink
        -271 year ago

        Biden is pretty fucking old too. The oldest to ever be elected. He has pretty severe dementia too. I know a lot of old folks that went down that road.

        • Balssh
          link
          fedilink
          71 year ago

          Yet he nonetheless proved to be quite capable in his role. As much as I love Bernie, I prefer the safe Biden rather than risking losing to Trump/De Sanctis.

        • @zeppo@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          31 year ago

          “Severe dementia” is far different than the old person behavior that Biden occasionally exhibits, which is like, saying the wrong word once or twice while speaking for half an hour. The “he doesn’t know what room he’s in!!1!” claims are absurd. When you listen to him talk for a while he’s perfectly coherent, though people like to cherry pick 1-2 lines out of context to try to pretend he’s doddering and incoherent.