Image is one of many rallies in Iran in support of the government and the leadership.
short summary here, longish summary in spoiler tags below: Western standoff munition stockpiles now substantially depleted, therefore Western aircraft activity directly over Iran increasing (as is footage of attempted and actual hits against them) as the US attempts to transition more to using bombs dropped directly onto targets, Iran is increasingly in the driver’s seat and controlling the conflict, world economy is fucked and yet could still get much worse very soon, if you require a car to live (especially if it’s not electric) and cannot work from home then you have my sincere condolences
longish summary here
While I’ve seen several estimates on the current stockpiles of US and Zionist missiles and interceptors - somewhere in the realm of a third depleted, perhaps even up to half - it seems like we’re reaching the point at which the US does not want to commit even more standoff munitions and is trying their luck against the Iranian air defense network directly.
We have already seen footage of Iran attempting to shoot down, and sometimes actually striking Western fifth generation planes like the F-35, and more footage along those lines is appearing for other plane models (with one side claiming that they evaded interception and the other claiming they hit it, etc etc, propaganda is everywhere, you know the drill). How much the US is willing to test their planes against Iranian air defense is a matter of debate. Strictly speaking, a few fighter jets and bombers shot down would be no catastrophic loss in the grand scheme of things, as the US has hundreds. However, the narrative of such a thing would be quite bad for the US - “You’re telling me an OBLITERATED Iranian military can shoot down some of our most advanced equipment?? What are we gonna do against China?!” - and given Trump’s deranged jingoistic rhetoric aimed to buoy markets, it’s clear that he cares very deeply about narratives. Additionally, with Chinese exports of several critical metals to the US banned, the prospect of replacing these aircraft (and indeed the standoff munitions and the interceptors and the ground radars etc) is looking questionable.
All the while, Iran continues its strikes across the Middle East. Missile and drone strikes are reportedly on the uptick again, demonstrating that Iranian military capabilities have by no means been “destroyed” as Western propaganda claim, though it’s impossible to sure there was ever a significant downtick due to Western censorship and outright fabrications. People around the world are gradually realizing the magnitude of the economic disaster that is occurring and may yet occur. Refineries and factories which deal with oil and gas directly are starting to slow down or stop production, and those who make products downstream of those are starting to follow them like dominoes. Outrage at gas station prices is rising, and many countries are considering limiting civilian driving and implementing work-from-home policies akin to the coronavirus pandemic. And now, threats are being made by Trump against both Kharg Island (where most Iranian oil is shipped from) and the Iranian electrical grid - which is highly decentralized and would require a prolonged bombing campaign to completely take out -and the promised Iranian reprisal would be apocalyptic to the Middle East. It would make oil prices rise to previously unfathomable heights as oil infrastructure turned off and remained off for months, perhaps years, and set in motion one of the world’s greatest humanitarian catastrophes as the desalination necessary for tens of millions of people is shut down. It would also not be a symmetrical problem, as Iran does not rely on desalination for its water supply.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Severe explosions have occurred at a US military base in Saudi Arabia, according to Iran’s semi-official Tasnim news agency. - The Guardian update
The agency, linked to the Revolutionary Guards, said media reports indicated drone attacks on the Sultan Amir base in eastern Saudi Arabia.
On MC-130J Commando II movements to RAF Mildenhall and the Middle East, these aren’t viewable on public flight tracking software, so local sources have the numbers:
The build-up and transit of MC-130J Commando IIs at RAF Mildenhall has been ongoing since the start of March. So far, there have been at least 41 MC-130Js (excluding based aircraft) that have arrived at RAF Mildenhall. Of those 41, at least 11 have the Silent Knight modification.
These aircraft have been arriving in the early hours of the morning and have largely been unmarked or had their tail numbers taped over. A few have been changing their callsigns on departure, and most have had 20+ passengers on their inbound flights.
Source, Armchair Admiral on X/twitter
Only 64 MC-130Js have been built, this is 64% of the entire fleet, almost two thirds, just participating in preparation for potential US operations against Iran… Considering the recent mission capable rates of low 70% averaged for all C-130J variants, and that there will be MC-130Js operating in missions not related to Iran, the US military has likely surged deployments and spent a lot of money and time upping readiness across the MC-130J fleet well beyond the usual low 70%. I’m guessing probably around 90% right now.
On the AN/APQ-187 Silent Knight radar modification: this is an above-K-band terrain-following/terrain-avoidance radar designed to allow Special Operations Forces aircraft to infiltrate contested airspace undetected at low altitude, at night, in all weather conditions via nap of the earth flight, below the radar horizon. MC-130Js, CV-22Bs, MH-47Gs, MH-60M all have it or the option to install it. The latter three are helicopters and tilt rotor aircraft designed and specifically modified for such a mission, infiltration, escort, and exfiltration behind enemy lines.
The CV-22B tilt rotor aircraft is especially relevant with regards to Iran given it’s vastly greater combat radius and overall range vs helicopters. The CV-22B has a combat radius of over 575 miles with an internal auxiliary fuel tank. The CH-47 the MH-47G is based on has a combat radius of 190 miles. Iran is a massive country. Look out for any public CV-22B movements, there are already a few in the region, likely for potential combat search and rescue deep inside Iran (though I suspect the US would really like to move these as silently and late as possible).
On the mission of the MC-130J Commando II, the aircraft of which about two thirds of the entire fleet/amount ever built are involved in preparation for potential operations vs Iran: it’s operated by the US Air Force Special Operations Command, provides infiltration, resupply and exfiltration of US Special Operations Forces (SOF) in a fixed wing platform, along with low altitude night time aerial refuelling for the aforementioned tilt rotor aircraft and helicopters operated by SOF. It can also set up Forward arming and refueling points (FARPs) on the ground for all types of aircraft, including tactical fighter jets that rely on boom refueling and can’t be refuelled mid air by the probe and drogue system of the MC-130J.
Israeli Military Chief warns the IDF could soon “collapse” if there is no solution to its manpower shortages, Jerusalem Post reports.
U.S. considers deploying up to 10,000 additional troops to Middle East
The Pentagon is weighing a plan to send as many as 10,000 more ground troops to the region, according to The Wall Street Journal, with Fox News reporting similar details citing a senior defense official.
Maybe the current troops and the new troops that are considered are really going in there to evacuate the US soldiers from the region and help invade Lebanon.
Mexican Navy activates EMERGENCY PROTOCOL to locate two sailboats carrying aid to Cuba after losing contact in the Caribbean
Lebanese resistance forces have destroyed at least 21 Zionist “Merkava” tanks over the past 24 hours:
https://x.com/i/status/2037207892890206283
https://xcancel.com/i/status/2037207892890206283
I also think it would be a good idea to concentrate all of the Iranian diaspora willing to fight on one of the small islands off Iran’s coast that all happen to be within missile range.
DropsiteNews;
Israel’s Channel 14 reports that Iranian officials believe ongoing “negotiations” may be an American intelligence effort aimed at gathering “precise information about leadership locations and decision-making centers.”
The report adds that this concern has led Tehran to avoid electronic communications and instead rely on field intermediaries to manage sensitive contacts.
Iran’s Fars News Agency is reporting that should America undertake a military operation to re-open the Strait of Hormuz, that the UAE’s Barakah nuclear power plant, the Jebel Ali desalination plant, and the MBR Solar Park, among other locations, will be targeted by Iran.
Unsurprisingly, Elon lost his “Elon Musk BDS” lawsuit for Twitter/X.
Elon Musk’s lawsuit against X advertisers thrown out by US judge
Billionaire had accused brands of organising an illegal boycott
Lots of “will they, won’t they” stories floating around now on a potential ground war with Iran. Following what I am terming “operational and logistical momentum” for lack of knowing what the official term might be, I think the US is going to engage in some sort of ground fighting. Prior experience between Ukraine and these last few rounds to conflict with Iran lead me to believe that too many assets have been reportedly deployed or are reportedly deploying to the region for this to be a bluff or scare tactic. You don’t send your most valuable special operations troops, each who you have dumped millions of dollars of training into, and put them within firing range of Iranian missiles just to bluff.
Maybe it ends up being a bluff, but I’m not getting burned yet again looking at a very public military buildup and taking the “nothing ever happens” position.
March 26th | Thai Tanker Transits Strait of Hormuz After Agreement Between Bangkok and Tehran
Article
A Thai oil tanker has safely passed through the Strait of Hormuz following diplomatic coordination between Thailand and Iran, two weeks after a projectile hit another Thai-flagged vessel during its passage through the Strait. The Thai energy firm Bangchak Corporation Plc confirmed that one of its crude oil tankers, which had been anchored in the Persian Gulf since March 11, safely transited the strategic waterway on March 23. “The tanker is currently on its way across the Indian Ocean and is expected to deliver crude oil to Thailand in early April,” the company said in a statement on Tuesday evening, the Bangkok Post reported. Foreign Minister Sihasak Phuangketkeow told the media that the passage followed talks with Iran’s ambassador to Thailand. “I requested that if Thai ships need to pass through the strait, could they assist in ensuring safe passage?” Sihasak said late Tuesday. “They responded that they would take care of it and asked us to provide the names of the vessels that would be transiting.” Another Thai vessel, owned by SCG Chemicals, is also awaiting clearance to transit the strait, Sihasak added. Bangchak expressed its appreciation to the Foreign Ministry and the governments of Iran and Oman, “in facilitating the vessel’s passage in accordance with international law.” The Iranian Embassy in Thailand also issued a statement saying that the passage was the result of “close cooperation between our two countries and the Sultanate of Oman.” According to Foreign Ministry sources cited by Reuters, the Thai embassy in Muscat “also worked with Omani authorities, coordinating alongside Iran via its embassy in Bangkok.” The safe transit for the Thai tanker comes two weeks after the Thailand-flagged bulk carrier Mayuree Naree was attacked by Iranian projectiles in the strait, causing a fire onboard and forcing the crew to evacuate. Twenty of the 23 crew on board were evacuated to Oman, but three remain unaccounted for. Deputy Foreign Ministry spokesperson Panidone Pachimsawat said yesterday that the government is awaiting confirmation of the status of the three remaining crew members and would inform the public as soon as it has any information about their fate. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) later admitted responsibility for attacking two vessels, including the Mayuree Naree, claiming that they had “ignored the warnings of the IRGC naval forces.” The Thai Foreign Ministry subsequently summoned Nassereddin Heidari, Iran’s ambassador in Bangkok, “to seek clarification” over the incident, and expressed “grave concern” over the intensifying crisis in the Middle East.
Reuters reported that the Bangchak tanker was not required to pay a fee to transit the Strait, despite some reports that Iran is requesting payment in exchange for the passage of certain ships. The passage of the vessel offers a measure of relief to Thailand, which like many of its neighbors, has seen sharp spikes in fuel prices due to the war in Iran. The Thai Enquirer reported that fuel prices shot up by up to 20 percent this morning, after the government opted to lower a fuel subsidy, and there have been reports of long lines at Thai petrol stations. The spiking prices are already spreading into other areas of the Thai economy, including transport, industry, tourism, and the agriculture sector, heaping pressure on the new government led by Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul. Thailand currently imports around 50 percent of its crude oil from the Gulf. Its net oil imports are also equivalent to 4.7 percent of GDP, the highest share in the region. According to an analysis published last week by the Washington-based Institute of International Finance, Thailand is among those Asian nations that are most vulnerable to the oil supply shock, in that they “have meaningful exposure to prolonged disruption in Gulf energy flows with limited fiscal space to absorb the shock.”
https://xcancel.com/Arab_Storms/status/2037259036442415327 (machine-translated)
Severe storm towards the West - UAE
https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/2037258953558773760/vid/avc1/364x640/hKxhhScVlOc2Kpj8.mp4
https://xcancel.com/clashreport/status/2037215388753174559
BIG: In a leaked cabinet recording, Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir warned that the IDF is nearing a breaking point after prolonged conflict. “I am raising ten red flags,” Zamir told ministers, stressing the urgent need for new laws on conscription, reserves, and extended service. “The reserves will not be able to hold out under these dramatic circumstances,” he added, warning that “it won’t be long before the IDF is no longer fit for even routine security missions.” Source: N12
Klippenstein is saying his sources say a ground invasion is a bluff
https://www.kenklippenstein.com/p/is-a-ground-war-with-iran-imminent
Very predictable that Trump wants a positive Friday and possibly an escalation over the weekend.
As per Iranian Government request, please let this statement serve to represent that I am pausing the period of Energy Plant destruction by 10 Days to Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 P.M., Eastern Time. Talks are ongoing and, despite erroneous statements to the contrary by the Fake News Media, and others, they are going very well. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
[edit] WTI oil futures are almost back to where they were before the tweet, Brent has gained back half of where it was before the tweet.
https://www.iranintl.com/en/202603265637
Just saw this dogshit that doesn’t link to a source. Is there any truth to this at all or are they really just making this shit up whole cloth?Supposed source found: https://t.me/BellumActaNews/169329 (subtitle veracity unknown, note the channel description)
Original video with more context but no subs: https://t.me/iribnews/326129reddit nonsense
Edit: Okay, this is a bit interesting…
Originally posted in r/worldnews by u/NeiborsKid, whose user page shows nothing, as if the account was deleted but the post doesn’t show [deleted account].
More edit: apparently the user page works in a private tab, though?? Am I banned from viewing certain users’ pages lmao?
First posts by the account appeared 5 months ago talking about how Iranians have “had every opportunity to relieve sanctions”
I’m fucking dying:
“Fixing iran is perhaps the easiest thing in the world”
