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Cake day: July 24th, 2024

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  • In light of the popularity of these images in response to their stunt, I’d like so share this. It discusses the Australian neo-Nazi equivalent org (the totally-for-real disbanded National Socialist Network), but the message is universal.

    https://thewhiterosesociety.writeas.com/9-principles-for-journalists-reporting-on-neo-nazis

    So let’s talk about Patriot Front:

    • Leader is a trust fund kid
    • Their messaging server and other comms were repeatedly hacked
    • They unwittingly hired an antifascist to be their official photographer, which needless to say, allowed activists to gather evidence and resulted in multiple PF members losing their jobs, and attempting to sue as a result (Plaintiffs Paul Gancarz, Daniel Turetchi, Colton Brown, James Johnson, and Amelia Johnson vs. David Alan Capito II)
    • Antifascists have repeatedly ambushed them, including locating their secret car park where they hopped into a U-Haul to go to a rally
    • There are videos of them getting beaten into retreat in Philly when they tried to march
    • There are videos of the Proud Boy fascists attacking up PF-splinter members (‘Rose City Nationalists’) and ripping off their balaclavas
    • There was an incident where a regional leader “spent the money on drugs” [source: a neo-Nazi drama podcast called The Absolute State of White Nationalism]
    • They so poorly planned an action against an antifascist neighborhood, that when retreating, a member almost got hit by a train [same source]
    • They stopped allowing women when two of three woman members snitched (one of them cheating on a member first) [same source]
    • They stopped allowing teenagers to join (still grooming them, they just can’t officially join) due to a ‘homosexual femboy’ incident, whatever that means [same source]
    • Their training videos show such incompetence that they literally can’t turn the correct direction when marching [you can find their training videos on the Patriot Fail leak]
    • At least former one member, when identified as Dillon Oakes, tried to snitch on their org and pretend they were undercover the whole time - “While we do work with former white nationalists who sincerely want to leave the movement, Nazis who pretend to have never been Nazis to escape consequences do not qualify.”

    Plenty more, might add some more in replies. They’re a serious issue, make no mistake, but there are far better jabs to make than “they wear masks and conservatives don’t - gotcha!”







  • There’s a contradiction at play here. One Nation is often vague and even self-contradictory, which combined with targeted messaging (and microtargeting in the digital realm) allows people to project onto them, I believe. They don’t want to alienate the white supremacist much, nor the “everyday aussie”, nor the non-white immigrant who agrees with some of their messaging.

    It’s a juggling game. Sure, you get the neo-Nazis agitating directly about Gina saying we should give free land near Townsville to the Zionist Regime[1], and an ON MP disclosing they have an immigrant Muslim boyfriend[2], and more. But… who else are they going to vote for? Neo-Nazis are opportunists, they won’t just abstain. They’ll just call it ‘optics’ for the ‘normie lemmings’ and try to recruit those brought into their sphere through ON. So ON gets to sanitise their message and claim “we’re not really racists” and “stop calling everyone you don’t like a nazi”, without alienating the hardcore open bigots.

    You can’t put the immigrant voting for ON and the neo-Nazi in the same protest for long, or a public meeting, but if it’s just votes from unenthusiastic masses you need, then vague mass messaging and contradictory targeted messaging works.

    What rubbish. Predictable and pathetic.

    Would have been cool if you preempted it, since it’s predictable.


    [1] : [official transcript] / [leftist article] / [nazi article (TW for bigoted ads)]

    [2] : [centrist article] / [nazi article (TW: homophobic framing, bigoted ads)]




  • You’ve raised great questions.

    I second those notes on national figures. I personally see an orange flag when people point to national metrics of economy, luxury, etc. as a sign of governance success (or failure). I’ve seen neglected public housing and gentrified tech-worker luxury a suburb apart, jump a couple more suburbs for mega-million mansions on the waterfront. This is all within an electorate or two. So what the heck do national statistics matter?

    You mention means, medians and modes… I like to see medians when they show their face, do you have some critiques of medians in these kinds of statistics? I’d like to be aware if I’m giving them too much credit, perhaps because they so clearly contrast against means to demonstrate inequality in distribution.

    Anybody have good data sources they’d like to share?

    I’m afraid I don’t, especially not for Australia. I could try and adapt the Wealth Shown to Scale explainable to Australia’s ultrawealthy…






  • I’m not saying the following to argue, but to add caveats and challenge assumptions.

    Not wrong, but all over the world does not have compulsory voting

    I see some other people treating compulsory voting as an anchor, but we’re seeing a prolonged shift away from the dominance of Coalition and Labor. We’re talking about a reactionary politician promoted by plenty of mainstream mass media outlets with astronomical funding - many casual apathetic forced-voters will be exposed to more of her populist policies and less of her terrible perspectives and Gina-service than we see. Especially if everyday people like us don’t talk to people about it.

    Add to that a high proportion of immigrants

    Many immigrants will vote for One Nation. It sounds unintuitive, but there are plenty who openly support Hanson. They’ve already immigrated, and might trivialise the racist attitudes of the party in support of other gripes, especially if they feel association with Australia and see themselves accepted as “one of the good ones”. One Nation is a racist party, but as a whole, it’s selectively racist: they will back candidates from most non-Arab ethnicities and have elected immigrants [admittedly not the best example].

    a solidly left leaning younger demographic

    Yes, but that doesn’t outweigh the larger, solidly right-leaning older demographic. Unfortunately Wikipedia haven’t updated their table since 2016 and I cbf summing the numbers on the ABS population pyramid, so I’m happy to be contradicted.

    Also consider that (judging by the first line of the ABS 2024 age/region summary plus my own assumption) younger populations are likely to be concentrated in cities, reducing the influence of a young vote on suburban and rural electoral seats.

    and Trump’s example

    And that’s been a useful tactic in dissuading ON prospectives, according to GetUp!, which to me also implies that plenty of people don’t recognise the similarity of Trump’s USA and Pauline’s ON.


    So, my perspective is, we should be optimistic and confident, but we must not be complacent and passive. These points you make only work if politically-informed people share our knowledge with the apathetic. And this doesn’t have to be preachy or direct, even passive exposure and “didjyahearabout” conversations will accumulate.