Pictured is a graph of historical global sea-surface temperatures across the year from 1982-2024. Yesterday was about 0.3°C warmer than last year. Well, maybe it will go back down since this is an El Niño year? :>

Average global surface air temperature in February 2024 was 1.77°C warmer than the average February from 1850-1900. So maybe we can retire those 1.5°C warming goals now?

However, the IPCC reports that global temperatures have only risen by 1.1°C. This is because they use decade-long averages. Indeed, it is completely possible that 2025 will be cooler than 2024, but crop failures don’t care much for averages. shrug-outta-hecks And if global warming has accelerated, the IPCC’s method will be a decade late to realizing it. Not that they can actually do anything about it…

  • @xia
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    34 months ago

    I recall seeing a video about this where they linked it to lower sulphur in container ships, now more sunlight hits the water or something.

    • SubstantialNothingness [none/use name]
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      54 months ago

      Termination shock - temperature masking becoming unmasked. I think James Hansen determined this was only a minor effect, while the main driver is a higher climactic sensitivity than the previous consensus.