• xigoi
    link
    115 months ago

    Then there is every second a nonzero chance that this machine (assuming true and not pseudo randomness) will pick, say pi.

    No. The probability of picking any particular number from a uniform distribution is 0.

    On the contrary, since the works of Shakespeare are a finite string over a finite alphabet (I can formalize this argument if you want), the probability of typing them out after some fixed large number of keystrokes is some nonzero number 𝑝. With 𝑛 monkeys, the probability that at least one will type out the works is 1 − (1 − 𝑝)ⁿ, which goes to 1 as 𝑛 → ∞.

    Now, you are right that this does not mean that the works are guaranteed to be typed out. However, it has probability 1, so it’s mathematically “almost certain”.