Almost 80% of the respondents, all from the authoritative Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), foresee at least 2.5C of global heating above preindustrial levels, while almost half anticipate at least 3C (5.4F). Only 6% thought the internationally agreed 1.5C (2.7F) limit will be met.
“I think we are headed for major societal disruption within the next five years,” said Gretta Pecl, at the University of Tasmania. “[Authorities] will be overwhelmed by extreme event after extreme event, food production will be disrupted. I could not feel greater despair over the future.”
"The world’s response to date is reprehensible – we live in an age of fools.”
Lisa Schipper, at University of Bonn in Germany, said: “My only source of hope is the fact that, as an educator, I can see the next generation being so smart and understanding the politics.”
Finally, a little more honesty. Anyone who understands the dynamics knew 1.5C was a joke.
I was under the impression that 1.5C would be the best case scenario if we somehow stopped emitting carbon overnight. We really are fucked aren’t we?
More like if we stopped emitting carbon 10-15 years ago. We’re extremely fucked. But, on the other hand, this is going to put immense pressure on the world"s empires so maybe there’s opportunity too.
1.5C was optimistically possible if the entire planet had pivoted to International Climate Stalinism immediately after the report was published.
tfw no climate Stalin
That’s been the way I’ve understood it; because as it stands the greenhouse being produced this year has not started to take effect yet.
Most scientists have said for years that we didn’t have a hope of staying under 1.5 just that that’s what we would have to do to not have massive negative repurcussions.