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Cake day: July 12th, 2023

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  • First I was ready to jump in and go, yup AI’s fucking things up more… but I’m more confused on this. It sounds to me like AI is maybe, doing like bob in the incredibles. IE guiding providers through the obstacle course of meaningless hoops that are normally there so that they can deny as many claims as possible, by learning what loopholes insurance companies usually reject, and specifically coding and phrasing the claims to avoid the traps.

    IE it’s most likely similar to the job application problem right now. IE companies basically trained AI to auto reject applications that came in on a bunch of arbitrary worthless metrics, thus cutting the pile of applications down by 90% before humans even start looking at it. Then applicants got AI tools that now specifically look for and phrase things specifically to target the searching AIs arbitrary filters, negating it useless. With the exception of the applicants that don’t use the tool, who just get fucked.



  • I’d find that rather unlikely as humans producing alcohol at some levels, and thus the existence of alcoholics pretty much predates written history, and even wild animals etc… have tendencies to seek out fermenting fruits etc… obviously one of the biggest variables is the scale and availability of alchohol, people being able to buy shots of cheap vodka for less than the price of water at a gas station is certainly a more modern history development, and the modern problem where someone wanting to avoid alchohol altogether has their work cut out for them as in most states grocery stores and gas stations have it advertised and supplied.

    But I’d still say based on the frequency of alchohol within stories, legends etc… which were intended to be relatable and understandable to the people of their time, I’d say at least a 5-15% alchoholism rate through pretty much all agricultural human civilization is a fairly safe estimate. and it looks like at least on some level, people with certain genes fell into that range more often than others.

    admitted though the idea that we can read “throughout the history of those human genes existing” is silly. obviously we can only study peoples lives based on when the human genomes were recorded and study has begin.


  • I’m lost at what you are saying, I think we agree with some of the core factors. If the genes that widely encourage substance abuse are in you, and you’ve never touched a drink… you will not feel a strong urge to drink.

    However it sounds like if you have the genes, and you start drinking, you are more likely to get dependent on it faster than someone without them. I believe that’s what the studies imply overall.

    No there’s no magical transmission that makes you born addicted to something you’ve never had. But the bar to go from drinking occasionally to can’t live without a drink, is a variable that’s composed of a lot of different things. Some of it is nurture and life experiences, some of it is inherent to your genetics.


  • I think the question really being asked is… will AI create the scenerio that was in end of sillicon valley. In short, the AI they made, basically was capable of breaking every form of encryption in seconds. to which I would say, I don’t think gen AI is the key to that. Super computers specialized in it, would likely have found weaknesses in the current encryption forms if they could. I don’t see gen AI doing anything close to the power of the resources dedicated to it could if they were specialized for it.


  • yawn… let us know when the actual human scientists actually verify it, and figure out a use for it. In a world where we already have an excess of bored media producers releasing. “Scientists think this might lead to a cure for cancer”. Highlighting some piece of research at stage .0001 of determining if there’s even a direction to work with, now we’ve got reporting coming giving us something at the stage before it gets to the scientists that can start speculating on whether it might lead to something.







  • Neil de grass tyson may be a bit of a blowhard, but I think his point on this issue was pretty damn valid.

    No matter how you slice it, sports working is all about drawing random lines to categorize people to be able to compete with eachother. Boxing, wrestling etc… have weight classes. Point is there’s not any specific reason why “biological sex” is the chosen category, and admitted there’s not a reason why it should be. Do cis men overall have inherent advantages over women, yes. Do left handed baseball players have an advantage… seems to be the case for some reason.




  • I don’t know… I will admit the reason he’s fair game and relevant is because he has gone on campaign tours with el sayed and gotten interviews with other DSA candidates. I’d say he’s not relevant to the democrats as a whole, but individuals who bring him to campaign events… are liable in the same way that any republican candidate that invites Kanye or Fuentes is accepting some baggage from them.

    That being said, I’d also point out Pikers baggage is just plain stupidly overblown as well. The guy streams for like 8 hours a day. The main “ammunition” against him, is one statement he made 8 years ago along the lines of “America deserved 9/11”. which he admitted he admitted was more of a misphrasing, and meant it as “america is responsible for the conditions that made 9/11 an inevitability”.


  • You should know, that they’ve always found a way for just about everything to fill revelations prophesies. most politicians etc…

    honeslty trump is the one that seemed to have the most elaborate ties. Multiple ways to tie him to the “seemingly dead but reviving” of the antichrist (assasination attempt, loss in 2020, etc…).

    Either way though point still remains. From what I gather the most historically plausible interpretation is it was intended to be referencing nero ceasar, particularly because the number changing between 616 and 666 based on the translation.

    At the end of the day, when you are working backwards, you’ll always find a way to make the pieces fit. Which make all of it a complete waste of time. If you want to find a way to make it hitler, or obama, or AI, or climate change, or spongebob squarepants… and you’ve got the time, you’ll find a way to make it work.

    Reminds me a bit of when I used to DM, My players used to think I was like an M Night shamalan of DMing because I’d drop some really cryptic prophesies and hints at the begining, and in spite of past me being more of a seat of the pants DM that let them take the plot in whatever direction they felt like going. Those cryptic prophesies always paid off at the end… how did I do it? Easy I just randomly made up complete gyberish for the prophesies with zero plan for what I wanted to do with them… took note of what they were, when I felt like we were near a climax of something, I either made very slight changes to what was currently going on to make it fit, or just had an NPC phrase something in a way that made the players think of the gyberish from before and let them write connections for me.



  • There’s a number of downsides with the AI systems, that IMO are features for the ones involved with AI development. Say hardware costs putting gaming and high end computer hardware out of our pricing hands.

    Amazon, Microsoft and google, all have the desire to move you to cloud computers, Think of it, instead of owning a computer, you can rent access to your computers and storage, prices can be raised over time once you are locked in. All of them have been sticking their toes in this idea for decades, heck Amazon and Google both tried and failed to make streaming consoles. The only problem, people like owning hardware, and they can’t really compete on price against actual owned hardware. But… if they can’t bring their price down, maybe they can bring the price of owned hardware up until the equation shifts.

    Sadly I feel like that’s the ultimate pivot point as well, if AI never turns profitable at least not at the scale they are building, they’ll keep the data centers going under this pivot, and everyone else going all in has their own motives to love the pivot. If the movie and music industry can’t profitably get rid of troublesome writers and actors demanding better treatment. Imagine how much easier policing piracy will be when your hardware is all in the hands of trusted large corporations with media investments. Totalitarian governments will love it even more, on top of whatever survives of AI being able to run flock cameras etc… Microsoft and Amazon will happily give them back doors to everyones computers.

    But don’t worry, I’m sure china’s going to ramp up chip production to counter the hardware prices. No way that can be countered by either extreme tarrifs, or just outright laws banning their use in the states like they’ve done with Huweii devices or BYD cars.

    So yeah I also agree, slop and misinformation intentionally burrying legitimate sources is just one of many things that we all see as a “bug”, that probably are real “features” to the Epstein class.


  • I do wonder if in this example the party actually detected the intended propoganda, versus if they just were in a campaign doing what they thought good characters would do in a situation. If not it’s so much more telling, as the best way to tell if you are standing on principles or just biased propoganda, is if you would make the same judgments if the names were hidden or even reversed. Even more ironic because obviously the DM controls the facts of the fictional world. Literally likely to not know or leave out details that hurt his case.