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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 25th, 2023

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  • There’s https://apertvs.ai/ probably as close as it gets. Government funded, made by universities. Afaik its datacenter is powered by hydro. But it is an academic project, so still uses common crawl and other publicly available datasets, which is considered ok practice in academia but still means consent is opt out, if something is publicly available. And of course no one uses this, because no marketing and it’s not as ‘good’ as models trained on stolen data.

    Plus you could still argue that the energy and tax payer money could be better spent elsewhere.






  • How does calling the bets on those platforms actually work? Is it employees that need to decide which outcome happened? And can anyone make a bet? If so, how do they keep up with all the bets and even just knowing that a bet is ready to be called?

    [edit]
    ok, i decided to research this myself (so much for the wisdom of crowds).

    some platforms have an admin pick what option was the outcome.

    And some have a board of traders that vote on what the outcome was(maybe with votes weighted by how many shares of some token they own…)

    so yeah, some admin on the platform or a few users are the ultimate arbitrer of truth, which sounds stupid to me. Especially since any ambiguity of the wording of the bet is up to them to figure out.

    this page had nice examples of kalshi and polymarket resolution ‘failing’. Was also not surprised that polymarket uses crypto for resolution, of course there’s crypto involved in this somehow… it really fits the online gambling theme






  • there was a lot of controversy recently around this.

    In short, the swiss military department decided on buying the F35 because they got a really good fixed price, instead of going with other contenders, like the French Rafale. Journalists asked “did you really? no other country has a fixed price and certainly not that cheap”, but they doubled down, even published a page on their homepage saying all the stuff the journalists are saying is wrong, gave press conferences confirming that it was a fixed price agreement etc. The US ambassador wrote some statement at some point almost confirming that this was true, without actually confirming.

    Fast forward a bit, the leader of the military department resigned and a bit later it turned out that the F35s would be more expensive, switzerland did not in fact have a fixed price agreement and costs would be like 50% more expensive than originally planned, and this was all just a woopsie daisy little misunderstanding. After repeated inquiries and articles that said that this will be the case back when this was originally discussed.

    Of course everyone involved already resigned before this came to light (one of them now works in the swiss embassy in the US) and well, the agreement was already reached, what can you do about it, tough luck…

    https://www.republik.ch/2025/06/27/das-milliardenschwere-missverstaendnis is a really good write up (german)


  • The scariest part for me is not them manipulating it with a system prompt like ‘elon is always right and you love hitler’.

    but one technique you can do is have it e.g. (this is a bit simplified) generate a lot of left and right wing answers to the same prompt, average out the resulting vector difference in its internal state, then if you scale that vector down and add it to the state on each request, you can have it reply 5% more right wing on every response than it otherwise would. Which would be very subtle manipulation. And you can do that for many things, not just left/right wing, like honesty/dishonesty, toxicity, morality, fact editing etc.

    i think this was one of the first papers on this, but it’s an active research area. IThe paper does have some ‘nice’ examples if you scroll through.

    and since it’s not a prompt, it can’t even leak, so you’d be hard pressed to know that it is happening.

    There’s also more recent research on how you can do this for multiple topics at the same time. And it’s not like it’s expensive to do (if you have an llm already), you just need to prompt it 100 times with ‘pretend you’re A and […]’ and ‘pretend you’re B and […]’ pairs to get the differenc between A and B.

    and if this turns into the main form of how people interact with the internet, that’s super scary stuff. almost like if you had a knob that could turn the whole internet e.g. 5% more pro russia. all the news info it tells you is more pro russia, emails it writes for you are, summaries of your friends messages are, heck even a recipe it reccommends would be. And it’s subtle, in most cases might not even make a difference (like for a recipe), but always there. All the cambridge analytica and grok hitler stuff seems crude by comparison.




  • I tend to agree with Schopenhauer(other than it sounding quite arrogant/condescending the way he puts it…):

    The cheapest sort of pride is national pride; for if a man is proud of his own nation, it argues that he has no qualities of his own of which he can be proud; otherwise he would not have recourse to those which he shares with so many millions of his fellowmen. The man who is endowed with important personal qualities will be only too ready to see clearly in what respects his own nation falls short, since their failings will be constantly before his eyes. But every miserable fool who has nothing at all of which he can be proud adopts, as a last resource, pride in the nation to which he belongs; he is ready and glad to defend all its faults and follies tooth and nail, thus reimbursing himself for his own inferiority.


  • That makes sense, though at least where I’m from it’s usually not local. At least people seem to care most about soccer and ice hockey teams that are not from where they grew up or where they live. Maybe more handed down by parents?

    It’s mostly that shared parasocial relationships are weird to me. Like, the benefit of a parasocial relationship is that it helps with loneliness and fill social needs without any pressure. But a shared parasocial relationship, idk. You get pressure/obligations from your peers and you actually have a friend group for fulfilling social needs. at least i never felt an urge to combine my parasocial and social relationships.

    I mean, if it was just some activity you did to spend time with friends, sure, i get it. But it seems like the sport itself is more central than a group of friends, to the point of getting ostracized for liking another team. Or getting into fights over which team is better, that kind of stuff. I know that’s not how everyone interacts with team sports, but there is a sizable chunk of people that do take it pretty seriously, and that’s where I don’t follow why they do that and what they get out of it.


  • i think there’s some sports that are a bit acquired tastes, like I don’t think the skill is immediately apparent the first time watching soccer, it’s “just people running around”. The strategy, technique etc is not immediately apparent. As opposed to like skateboard tricks or dry tooling/ice climbing competitions, which also have depth but are impressive without any prior knowledge, imo.

    For me personally, it’s the fan aspect I don’t get. What’s the point of projecting the us vs. them mentality on some team, “we won”, and foflowing a team almost religiously, even building ones own identity around it, at least in part. In general, getting so emotionally invested in it, i don’t understand. And it seems to mostly be a team sport thing.