An FBI “red cell” report predicted that law enforcement action and a “lack of coordination” between groups would prevent widespread violence in response to a disputed election.

One week before Election Day 2020 and just over two months before the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol, an internal FBI analysis concluded that domestic violent extremists were “very willing to take action” in response to a disputed election but that “law enforcement preemption” and the “disorganization” of extremist groups “likely would hinder widespread violence.”

The so-called red cell report — the type of exercise that became widespread after the federal government’s Sept. 11 intelligence failures and are meant to challenge conventional wisdom and encourage outside-the-box thinking — was titled “Alternative Analysis: Potential Scenarios for Reactions of Domestic Violent Extremists to a Disputed 2020 US Presidential Election.” NBC News obtained a redacted copy of the report through a Freedom of Information Act request.

  • @OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee
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    149 months ago

    Same issue as the “Bin Laden determined to attack US” report from before 9/11. Looking back on it, there was a report that seems to predict exactly what happened, but this was one of many reports, and vague enough that it could have been confirmed with a bomb threat in Atlanta just as easily as Jan 6th.

    • @tacosplease@lemmy.world
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      239 months ago

      Except this one was obvious to everyone before it happened.

      Look at reddit posts from Jan 3-5. Everyone was saying progressives should stay home because the conservatives were going to get violent.

      We all knew J6 was coming. We didn’t all know 9/11 was coming.

    • Binthinkin
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      19 months ago

      My brother was telling me about how on Twitter he was basically announcing it.