• @BartyDeCanter
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    6622 days ago

    While the priors seemed to suggest it could float, the update step showed that was an outlier.

    I’ll show myself the door.

      • @Klear@sh.itjust.works
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        21 days ago

        Hard to answer that since I don’t know which door was picked first.

        Then again, I’m taking 3. Goats are cool.

        • PM_ME_VINTAGE_30S [he/him]
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          -221 days ago

          In search of a new car, the player chooses a door, say 1. The game host then opens one of the other doors, say 3, to reveal a goat and offers to let the player switch from door 1 to door 2.

          • @Klear@sh.itjust.works
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            421 days ago

            Yeah, duh. You are supposed to switch doors, everybody knows that at this point, but the picture doesn’t show which door was initially picked.

            • PM_ME_VINTAGE_30S [he/him]
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              021 days ago

              Yeah I know, that’s why I’m telling you now which door was picked (door #1 according to the caption on the Wikipedia page I stole borrowed this image from) 🙂

    • @merari42@lemmy.world
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      921 days ago

      At least you only have to sink one Bayesian Superyacht to update your priors. To get at population parameters you would need to sink many Frequentist Superyachts